Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs 1/32
Global 3-1
Defensa y Justicia vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
DYJ
4 - 2
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 1
DYJ
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
DYJ
0 - 1
VEL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
SLO
3 - 1
DYJ
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 0
DYJ
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 2
AME
32%
30%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AME
1 - 3
SFE
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 1
AME
49%
29%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
AME
2 - 0
CAL
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |