Defensa y Justicia vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
CAU
3 - 1
DYJ
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
DYJ
1 - 3
TAL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 4
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DYJ
2 - 1
VSC
71%
19%
9%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 0
DYJ
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 0
IND
29%
31%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
ALM
36%
31%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 0
SMA
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
3 - 0
ALM
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
SPB
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |