Defensa y Justicia vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
BUC
4 - 1
DYJ
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DYJ
2 - 2
GBR
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
GIM
2 - 0
DYJ
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
DYJ
1 - 3
INS
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
DYJ
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
4 - 0
DES
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALM
43%
31%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
PAT
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 0
ALM
55%
28%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 1
ATT
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |