Defence Force vs La Horquetta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
11º
2º
43
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 54 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 2
DEF
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 0
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 3
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 2
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
DEF
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
La Horquetta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 2
LHR
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
LHR
1 - 0
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
POI
0 - 1
LHR
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
LHR
3 - 2
ATH
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 1
LHR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |