Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DEF
6 - 1
NOR
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
DEF
35%
25%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
DEF
5 - 1
POI
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 4
DEF
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 4
CEN
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
POI
1 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAL
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
ANN
72%
17%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |