Def. Belgrano vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
PLA
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EST
1 - 3
DEF
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 2
STM
46%
29%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
AND
1 - 3
DEF
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
ACA
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
DAL
0 - 0
EST
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
STM
2 - 0
DAL
22%
27%
52%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DAL
2 - 0
AND
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 3
DAL
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DAL
3 - 1
MOR
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |