Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
47.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PLA
4 - 3
DEF
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
VSC
41%
30%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
DEF
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
33%
30%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SUA
2 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 0
SUA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SUA
1 - 1
RIE
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
SUA
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SUA
5 - 1
ALM
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |