Def. Belgrano vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
25.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
AND
1 - 3
DEF
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
ACA
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
DEF
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
STM
2 - 0
DAL
22%
27%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
STM
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STM
1 - 1
AND
31%
30%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
STM
57%
24%
18%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
STM
1 - 3
MOR
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |