Def. Belgrano vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
50.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 0
GIM
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 0
RSA
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GIM
0 - 1
DEF
34%
33%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 2
ALB
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 1
TIG
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BRO
1 - 0
SMA
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
RIE
0 - 1
SMA
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
SMA
2 - 0
SAR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |