Def. Belgrano vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 3
DEF
44%
30%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
GBR
48%
29%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 0
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
IRV
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
DEF
77%
17%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
5 - 0
STM
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 2
RAC
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
SMA
29%
29%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 2
ALB
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
BRO
59%
24%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |