Def. Belgrano vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
MIT
0 - 0
DEF
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 2
FER
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
IRV
3 - 1
DEF
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
QUI
27%
30%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MAI
3 - 1
DEF
36%
31%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 2
SMA
19%
27%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SUA
2 - 1
SAC
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
AGR
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
SAC
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
DYJ
4 - 1
SAC
85%
12%
4%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |