Def. Belgrano vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
4 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
QUI
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
INS
41%
29%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 2
DEF
43%
31%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 0
DEF
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
INS
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 2
INS
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
QUI
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 1
INS
26%
29%
44%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
INS
3 - 2
RSA
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |