Def. Belgrano vs Gimnasia Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 0
RSA
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GIM
0 - 1
DEF
34%
33%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 2
ALB
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
RAF
1 - 3
DEF
59%
25%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RAF
1 - 5
GIM
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GIM
3 - 1
DAL
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
QUI
2 - 2
GIM
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALM
41%
29%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 0
GIM
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |