Def. Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
DEF
32%
30%
38%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 1
MOR
22%
30%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
TAL
0 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
COL
41%
30%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 0
DEF
40%
30%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
ACA
59%
25%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
EST
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
ATL
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SUA
0 - 1
EST
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |