Def. Belgrano vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
AND
37%
29%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 0
DEF
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 3
MOR
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
DAL
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
EST
25%
30%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
DYJ
0 - 3
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
AND
68%
20%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |