Def. Belgrano vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
MID
72%
20%
8%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 1
DEF
17%
26%
57%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
RIE
41%
28%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
LUJ
73%
20%
7%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -3 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
RIE
2 - 1
DOC
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
DOC
0 - 2
RIE
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RIE
1 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
RIE
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
TAL
0 - 1
RIE
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |