Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
23.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
CAG
2 - 2
DEF
34%
32%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
51%
29%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 2
DEF
40%
31%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
ALB
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
STM
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
STM
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
DAL
2 - 0
MOR
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
SMA
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 1
MOR
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
GBR
48%
27%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |