Def. Belgrano vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
DEF
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
COL
40%
30%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
STM
1 - 0
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
COM
29%
29%
42%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
VSC
0 - 2
DEF
34%
29%
38%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 2
TAL
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
SUA
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
ESP
44%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
SMG
72%
19%
9%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |