Def. Belgrano vs Dep. Armenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
BAR
12%
25%
63%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 3
DEF
77%
17%
7%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
RIE
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
MID
72%
20%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 1
DEF
17%
26%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
ATL
36%
29%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARM
55%
25%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 0
UAI
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
ARM
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |