Def. Belgrano vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
DEF
16%
25%
59%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MID
2 - 3
DEF
16%
26%
58%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
LAM
62%
24%
14%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
RIE
0 - 2
DEF
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAL
62%
25%
14%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
JJU
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DOC
2 - 0
CAD
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
MID
1 - 1
CAD
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
CAD
3 - 0
LAM
50%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |