Def. Belgrano vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
36%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
BRO
18%
27%
55%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
DEF
51%
28%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
DEF
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
CHA
21%
29%
51%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 0
DEF
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
COL
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
DAL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
STM
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AND
1 - 1
COL
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
ACA
49%
26%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |