Def. Belgrano vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 1
DEF
51%
28%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAL
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
44%
30%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 0
DEF
52%
28%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 2
MOR
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
UAI
0 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
EST
46%
29%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 2
CHA
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
ARM
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |