Def. Belgrano vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
50%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
DEF
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
35%
30%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
RIE
4 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
41%
30%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
PLA
47%
30%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALM
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
STM
2 - 3
ATL
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
PLA
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 0
ATL
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |