Def. Belgrano vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 1
DEF
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 3
DEF
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 0
PLA
24%
30%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
AND
38%
30%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOR
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
EST
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 0
COL
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 2
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 2
ATL
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |