Decic vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
DEC
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DEC
4 - 1
FKM
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PET
2 - 3
DEC
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DEC
2 - 0
BUD
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JED
0 - 1
DEC
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
JEZ
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 0
PET
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PET
2 - 3
DEC
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FKM
0 - 2
PET
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
PET
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |