Decic vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
DEC
3 - 1
JEZ
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RUD
4 - 0
DEC
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
DEC
3 - 3
GRB
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MLA
0 - 0
DEC
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
DEC
1 - 4
ZET
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 1
PET
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PET
0 - 1
IKD
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
RUD
4 - 1
PET
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
PET
0 - 1
SUT
27%
28%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
GRB
0 - 2
PET
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |