Decic vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
RUD
1 - 0
DEC
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
DEC
1 - 2
IKD
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 1
DEC
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
GRB
3 - 0
DEC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
DEC
2 - 1
RUD
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PET
0 - 1
SUT
26%
29%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
RUD
3 - 2
PET
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PET
0 - 3
SUT
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ZET
0 - 0
PET
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PET
1 - 1
BOK
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |