Decic vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GRB
2 - 1
DEC
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
DEC
1 - 2
BUD
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DEC
1 - 0
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MLA
4 - 0
DEC
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
DEC
0 - 1
BOK
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IKD
2 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
GRB
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DEC
1 - 0
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
BUD
21%
28%
51%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
MLA
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +2 |