Decic vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MLA
4 - 0
DEC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
DEC
0 - 1
BOK
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PET
1 - 0
DEC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DEC
3 - 1
ZET
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
RUD
2 - 1
DEC
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
BUD
21%
28%
51%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
MLA
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BOK
2 - 0
MOR
64%
23%
13%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
PET
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 3
LOV
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |