Decic vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
BUD
4 - 0
DEC
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
DEC
1 - 4
ZET
31%
27%
41%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
SUT
1 - 1
DEC
45%
29%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
DEC
1 - 1
BOK
62%
24%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
MLA
0 - 1
DEC
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
MOG
4 - 0
LOV
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
PET
1 - 2
MOG
42%
28%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MOG
4 - 1
KOM
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
BUD
5 - 6
MOG
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
GRB
0 - 0
MOG
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |