Decic vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
24.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BOK
1 - 3
DEC
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BER
2 - 0
DEC
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DEC
1 - 3
ZET
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BUD
5 - 0
DEC
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
JED
2 - 0
DEC
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FKC
1 - 0
LOV
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 1
BER
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ZET
3 - 0
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 1
FKC
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 2
BUD
27%
28%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |