Decic vs Jezero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
43
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JED
0 - 0
DEC
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 0
FKA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 1
DEC
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 0
RUD
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
DEC
34%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 2
BUD
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 1
JEZ
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
0 - 0
MOR
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 1
PET
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 0
FKA
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |