Decic vs Jezero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
43
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JED
1 - 2
DEC
20%
27%
53%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 1
BUD
40%
24%
37%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DEC
2 - 4
FKA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SUT
3 - 0
DEC
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DEC
5 - 1
RUD
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 0
BUD
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SUT
1 - 0
JEZ
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IKD
2 - 1
JEZ
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JEZ
3 - 1
MOR
45%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
JEZ
2 - 2
PET
45%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |