Decic vs Iskra Danilovgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
31
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 1
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 0
NSM
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
DEC
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEC
26%
28%
47%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 0
DEC
25%
27%
47%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Iskra Danilovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
IKD
3 - 0
BUD
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PET
1 - 0
IKD
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
IKD
2 - 1
MOR
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 0
IKD
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 3
JED
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |