Decic vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
BUD
2 - 0
DEC
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
DEC
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DEC
2 - 2
MLA
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
IBA
0 - 2
DEC
17%
22%
62%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BOK
4 - 1
DEC
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
GRB
2 - 1
MOR
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
MLA
3 - 1
GRB
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GRB
1 - 1
BOK
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
GRB
1 - 2
BUD
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PET
0 - 1
GRB
35%
29%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |