Decic vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
DEC
0 - 3
IKD
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 0
DEC
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
DEC
1 - 3
KOM
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BUD
3 - 1
DEC
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PET
3 - 1
DEC
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
OUL
1 - 3
JEZ
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
JED
0 - 2
OUL
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
OUL
1 - 0
IBA
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
IGA
3 - 1
OUL
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
OUL
4 - 0
FKC
78%
16%
6%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | +1 |