Decic vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
LOV
2 - 1
DEC
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
OUL
1 - 2
DEC
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DEC
6 - 1
BER
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
JED
2 - 1
DEC
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEC
2 - 0
MLJ
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
FKA
0 - 1
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FKA
0 - 0
JED
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FKA
0 - 1
MLJ
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
BOK
0 - 0
FKA
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FKA
0 - 0
IGA
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |