Decic vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
IKD
1 - 0
DEC
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DEC
2 - 0
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
DEC
2 - 1
IGA
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
KOM
1 - 2
DEC
22%
26%
53%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DEC
5 - 1
FKC
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
FKA
0 - 1
IGA
28%
28%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
KOM
0 - 1
FKA
52%
27%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
FKA
3 - 0
FKC
39%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
JED
1 - 0
FKA
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FKA
1 - 2
RDB
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |