Decic vs Bar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ZET
2 - 0
DEC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
DEC
0 - 0
ZET
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SUT
2 - 1
DEC
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
DEC
1 - 0
LOV
47%
29%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PET
2 - 0
DEC
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MLA
1 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
SUT
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LOV
0 - 1
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
PET
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MOG
3 - 1
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |