Europa League 1/64
Global 6-3
Debreceni VSC vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Debreceni VSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
DVS
5 - 0
FTC
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BEK
1 - 2
DVS
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
NKV
1 - 3
DVS
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
DVS
1 - 0
PEC
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
FHV
2 - 0
DVS
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ZAD
2 - 2
NKV
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
HNK
2 - 0
NKV
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
NKV
1 - 3
DVS
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
NKV
2 - 0
INT
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 2
NKV
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |