Q. Europa League 4a Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Debreceni VSC vs Litex Lovech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Debreceni VSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DVS
6 - 2
KTE
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
PAK
2 - 2
DVS
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
DVS
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
DVS
2 - 0
PAP
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
DVS
0 - 2
BAS
40%
24%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
LOV
2 - 1
OFK
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
LOV
2 - 1
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
BER
1 - 1
LOV
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
ZIL
3 - 1
LOV
55%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
LOV
2 - 1
FKM
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |