Debreceni VSC vs Diósgyőr VTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
7º
4º
9
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 61 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 58 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 52 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 46 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 42 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 42 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 31 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 19 |
12º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
6.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
18% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Debreceni VSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KTE
1 - 1
DVS
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GYO
0 - 3
DVS
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 1
DVS
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DVS
2 - 1
ZIL
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 2
DVS
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DIO
0 - 2
FTC
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FHV
3 - 1
DIO
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DIO
2 - 2
PAK
28%
23%
49%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DIO
3 - 1
ZEM
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
F95
4 - 0
DIO
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |