De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
4º
4º
10
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ACY
2 - 1
GRA
45%
21%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FYN
3 - 2
GRA
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 4
GRO
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 0
GRA
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PEC
6 - 2
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
EMM
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEC
2 - 1
WIL
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
ACY
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FYN
6 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 4
GRO
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |