De Graafschap Sub 21 vs Utrecht Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 0
GRA
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 1
ALK
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +4 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 1
GRA
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
RKC
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
5 - 1
GRA
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
UTR
2 - 2
ALK
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 0
UTR
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 1
ALM
23%
22%
54%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
DBS
0 - 0
UTR
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
UTR
1 - 1
FYN
33%
23%
45%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |