De Graafschap U21 vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
79.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
ZWO
15%
20%
65%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
BVO
13%
18%
70%
|
22 | 67 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 1
NAC
37%
25%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 3
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 0
WIL
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |