DC United vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
DCU
4 - 2
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
RSL
3 - 0
DCU
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
HOD
1 - 0
DCU
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
DCU
3 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
DCU
0 - 3
FUL
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 2
WAT
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
MON
5 - 2
WAT
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 2
WAT
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 3
ARN
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
WAT
5 - 0
SPO
64%
23%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |