DC United vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
DCU
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PHU
2 - 0
DCU
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CFS
0 - 2
DCU
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DCU
3 - 1
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
DCU
1 - 2
NER
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
COC
2 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
SES
22%
26%
53%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
NER
0 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
COC
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 0
RBN
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |