DC United vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SJE
0 - 2
DCU
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
DCU
0 - 1
NER
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
DAL
0 - 0
DCU
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
RBN
0 - 1
DCU
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
DCU
2 - 2
PHU
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
TOR
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
KCW
4 - 2
TOR
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 1
DAL
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
HOD
2 - 0
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
RBN
5 - 0
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |