DC United vs Tampa Bay Mutiny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
RBN
2 - 3
DCU
51%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
DCU
2 - 1
GAL
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
COC
3 - 2
DCU
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1996 |
TAM
1 - 3
DCU
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
DCU
2 - 4
KCW
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tampa Bay Mutiny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
NER
4 - 2
TAM
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
TAM
3 - 1
RBN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
DAL
2 - 1
TAM
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1996 |
TAM
1 - 3
DCU
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
TAM
3 - 1
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |