DC United vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
DCU
3 - 1
COR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
DCU
2 - 1
PNN
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
COC
1 - 1
DCU
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
OCE
0 - 2
DCU
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
COR
3 - 0
DCU
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 1
CHA
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 0
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 0
PRI
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
ROC
2 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
ROC
4 - 1
AUS
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |